⚔️ Can any Manifold user defeat Tumbles at Smash Bros Melee? ⚔️
11
122
260
Sep 2
45%
chance

I'm throwing down the gauntlet! Here's how this market works:

Any Manifold user may challenge me to a match. Any given user may make one attempt for every 2000 YES shares they hold in this market. So they need to hold 2000 shares before making their first attempt, 4000 shares if they want to make a second attempt, etc. When you are placing a bet, your 'Max payout' is how many shares you are buying.

Tumbles is obligated to accept any challenge from someone with enough shares. Also, Tumbles must be willing to buy NO shares at 69% if they have the mana to spare to allow challengers to take their shot. Tumbles may of course buy shares much lower than 69% as well, feel free to negotiate a price in the comments! Tumbles will never buy YES shares or sell NO shares.

Once a challenge is issued the match should be scheduled in the near future. The match will be played online via Slippi. Tumbles will be present in Discord voice chat during the match and stream it to Twitch.

Ruleset:
-Four stocks, 8 minute timer, no items
-First to win four games wins the match
-Stagelist: Battlefield, Yoshi's Story, Final Destination, Fountain of Dreams, Pokemon Stadium, Dream Land, Rainbow Cruise, Poke Floats
-Game one played on Battlefield. Afterwards, the loser of previous game chooses the next stage (can't pick a stage you've already won a game on)

Resolves YES if someone challenges Tumbles and wins. Otherwise, resolves NO at scheduled close date.

List of defeated challengers so far:
-

Related: https://manifold.markets/browse/tumbles-stream

Get Ṁ200 play money
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I'd play you but it'd be 400 ping and we'd be teleporting all over the place, plus it would just mean I'm more likely to bankrupt you lol

@Tripping We could test our connection though if you want

I am the top Melee trader. Soon I shall overtake Tripping and become the top Melee creator. And when this market resolves NO I will be Manifold's top player as well and then I will be King Melee, lord of Melee Island

https://manifold.markets/leaderboards?topic=super-smash-bros-melee

opened a Ṁ5,000 YES at 20% order

true tumbles believers will buy NO into my limit order and if you don’t then you hate and don’t believe in tumbles

@june Seems a bit expensive! I offered Strutheo a special deal, but frankly I'm not that good, gonna have to buy in for more than that if I'm riskin my precious mana

can i do a challenge for less than 2000 mana (aka 50% my net worth lol)

@strutheo I'm afraid not. However, I'm willing to sell you shares cheap! If you make a limit order for 400 mana at 20% I'll try to fill it. That would mean we basically are betting at 4:1 odds!

If 400 mana is too steep for now I'll still be willing to play friendlies again sometime ❤

reposted

FYI, I've attended at least a dozen tournaments, but I've never made it out of pools before

I just edited the description to make it so I'm obligated to help people buy their NO shares

Slippi Rank? What char(s)? 🤔

@dwax Low gold, puff/sheik

opened a Ṁ690 NO at 40% order

@Tumbles 1v1 no items fd lets go. maybe this weekend

@strutheo jk we can do any stages

@Tumbles oh, we’re posting tournament sets? Alright, here’s my first ever tournament + tournament set.

reposted

time to bring the peach out of retirement?

oh shit....