In June 2024, Google plans to disable Manifest V2 in Chrome. This will, among other things, break the current best adblockers, which is likely to be unpopular. But how much actual movement-of-customers will result from this unpopularity remains an open question.

Market will be resolved based on the numbers at https://gs.statcounter.com/browser-market-share/desktop/worldwide, once the numbers for 2024 are all posted, comparing the mean market-share-percentage from the six data points in the first half of the year (January to June) against the mean market-share-percentage from the six data points in the second half of the year (July to December). 'At least 2%' should be interpreted in an absolute sense, not a relative sense; a movement of 2% of the overall market, not just of 2% of the Chrome userbase. Market will resolve N/A if statcounter is no longer providing the relevant statistics as of resolution-time.