Will Taylor Swift endorse a candidate other than Joe Biden for the 2024 presidential election?
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97
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resolved Sep 11
Resolved
YES

Resolves NO if Swift does not endorse a candidate.

Resolves NO if Swift endorses Joe Biden.

The endorsement, if any, must be on or before election day.

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@Tsunombie resolves ‘Yes’

Here we go again

I am so invented on this lol

i'm not super invested here, but what makes you think NO? any reason you think she won't endorse in 2024?

I saw a video on x about how awful Taylor thinks Kamala was from I think years ago, full disclosure I don't like Taylor swift, I am not from the us, and I only follow elections through betting markets, but I have a good feeling on my bet.

do you have a link to that? I would be very surprised to learn that taylor swift had commented about kamala before—not usually how she operates. (certainly wasn't raised when taylor endorsed the biden/harris ticket in 2020, unless this was after?)

turns out she was talking about someone else, oh well, too late to quit now Xd

https://vm.tiktok.com/ZMrqqHkBg/

how did you get fooled by that?

One other clarification: What it means to "endorse". I'm looking for an official endorsement in terms of voting, and not something informal like, "I sure wish Biden would step down and XYZ would run instead."

It occurs to me that TS might first endorse Biden and then, later, endorse another candidate. If so, however, according to the criteria in the description, I will have already resolved this market NO (when TS endorsed Biden).

I need this market so I can arbitrage two others. Please bid it way down so then I can get a bunch of shares cheap!