Will Tim Scott win at least five states in the Republican primaries?
11
closes 2024
8%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Amount
Ṁ0
Ṁ50
Ṁ100
Payout if YES
Ṁ110 +1007.6%
New probability
10% +2%
Resolves YES if Tim Scott wins the most delegates in at least five states during the 2024 Republican presidential primaries. Resolves NO otherwise.
The source of the official delegate count will be the Republican National Committee (RNC), and any disputes about the delegate count will be resolved based on the RNC's official statements.
Similar markets: https://manifold.markets/group/can-candidate-win-states
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