Will Tim Scott suspend his presidential campaign before the first Republican presidential primary votes are cast?
63
459
945
resolved Nov 13
Resolved
YES

In the 2016 presidential race, many Republicans vying for the party's nomination suspended their campaigns and withdrew from the race before the first primaries and caucuses had even started, including Rick Perry, Scott Walker, Bobby Jindal, Lindsey Graham, and George Pataki.

In 2024, the first primary or caucus is scheduled to be the Iowa caucuses on the 22nd of January, 2024. If Tim Scott suspends his campaign before the first primary or caucus is held, this market will resolve to YES. If his campaign is still going on the day of the first primary or caucus, this market will resolve to NO. If he doesn't upgrade his exploratory committee to a full campaign launch before that date, this market will also resolve to YES.

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bought Ṁ50 of YES

Scott dropped out. Please resolve.

sold Ṁ61 of NO

I’m in a state of belief. My model had Tim Scott at a 10,000% chance in Iowa. Nobody gets the farmers like Tim gets the farmers

@BDStraw A state of disbelief.

bought Ṁ30 of NO

If I heard anything from Tim Scott yesterday, I heard a man who’s all in on iowa.

bought Ṁ25 of YES

@BDStraw If I heard anything from him yesterday, I stopped paying attention halfway through, so I'm not sure he's got the staying power - or donor power

bought Ṁ25 of NO

@Marnix Well to fill you in, you missed some BANGER lines from time including “we are a fatherless society” and “we need to stop kneeling in protest and start kneeling in prayer” #ScottPOTUS24

predicted YES

@BDStraw the Scott Sweep may be upon us

predicted NO

@Marnix Literally pray for Tim’s enemies

predicted YES

@BDStraw They're going be kneeling, one way or the other

predicted YES

@BDStraw When he gets a hotel room in Iowa, does he get a king size bed or two doubles? That's the biggest news that will come out of his campaign.

predicted NO

@KevinLobLaw We need our country’s finest investigative journalists working on this story. It’s a matter of critical national security concern.

predicted YES

@BDStraw How humiliating for his asymmetrical girlfriend for the world to learn she can't close the deal with a US Senator, who she might call her special friend.

predicted YES

@BDStraw Scott supporters should forego voting in favor of prayerful contemplation, to show the strength of their faith. "Let the gods' will be done, not mine own."

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