Will the winner of the 2024 U.S. Presidential election win more than 300 electoral college votes?
Basic
13
Ṁ354Dec 4
50%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Faithless electors will not affect the resolution of this market - resolution will be based on expected/pledged electoral college votes given the popular vote totals and actions of faithless electors will not be considered.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will the winner of the electoral college also win the popular vote in 2024?
48% chance
What will be the exact electoral college outcome in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election?
Will the 2024 US presidential election be extremely close (within 100,000 votes for electors to the Electoral College)?
33% chance
Will the 2024 US presidential election be within 200,000 votes (for electors to the Electoral College)?
62% chance
Will the 2024 presidential election be decided by fewer than 100,000 votes?
50% chance
Will the winner of the 2024 US Presidential Election win at least 300 Electoral Votes?
58% chance
Will the winner of the 2024 U.S. Presidential election win more than 350 electoral college votes?
15% chance
Will the winner of the 2024 U.S. Presidential election win more than 325 electoral college votes?
19% chance
Will Donald Trump/Joe Biden get 300 electoral votes in the 2024 election?
34% chance
Will the winner of the popular vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election also win a majority in the electoral college?
69% chance