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MANIFOLD
Will the television ratings for the upcoming Academy Awards (Oscars) ceremony be higher than the previous year?
11
Ṁ230Ṁ2.1k
resolved Mar 24
Resolved
YES

Viewership by year, as reported by Nielsen:

2022: 16.6M

2021: 10.4M

2020: 23.6M

2019: 29.6M

2018: 26.5M

If the 2023 numbers are greater than 16.6M, then this market will resolve to YES. If they are the same or lower, this market will resolve to NO. This market will resolve once the finalized Nielsen numbers are out.

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predictedYES

dammit, Horace, I was about to buy in

@AlQuinn what source are you using

predictedYES

@Tripping Prelim data from here:

2022: ABC: 12.56 million, CBS: 5.70, Fox: 1.63, NBC: 1.05/ CW: 171,000

https://programminginsider.com/sunday-ratings-the-94th-academy-awards-increases-from-the-historical-low-in-2021/

2023: ABC: 14.15 million, CBS: 4.53, NBC: 2.78, Fox: 894,000, CW: 421,000

https://programminginsider.com/sunday-ratings-consistent-showing-for-the-95th-academy-awards-results-approximate/

Both are just estimates, but I figure estimates from same source should be directional at least, so likely YES

@AlQuinn Interesting, thanks.

predictedYES

@AlQuinn Haha I just happened across this market and was like... "I think there's good enough information on this to buy yes"

predictedYES

@HoraceHe you got there 10 seconds before I did. **Angry Al Quinn Facial Expressions**