Will 'The Legend of Zelda: Tears of the Kingdom' have outsold 'Super Smash Bros. Ultimate' at any point before 2025?
5
closes 2025
43%
chance

Resolution will be based on Nintendo's official Investor Relations information.

If at any point before 2025 in any of Nintendo's updates to the Top Selling Title Sales Units financial data (https://www.nintendo.co.jp/ir/en/finance/software/index.html), 'The Legend of Zelda: Tears of the Kingdom' is listed as having more copies sold than 'Super Smash Bros. Ultimate', this market will resolve to YES.

If 2025 begins and Nintendo has never released data showing that TotK has sold more copies than SSBU, this market will resolve to NO.

For reference, at the time of market creation, SSBU is listed as having sold 31.09 million copies as of the March 31st, 2023 update to the figures.

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