Will 'The Legend of Zelda: Tears of the Kingdom' have outsold 'Pokémon Sword/Pokémon Shield' at any point before 2025?
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21
1.7k
2025
21%
chance

Resolution will be based on Nintendo's official Investor Relations information.

If at any point before 2025 in any of Nintendo's updates to the Top Selling Title Sales Units financial data (https://www.nintendo.co.jp/ir/en/finance/software/index.html), 'The Legend of Zelda: Tears of the Kingdom' is listed as having more copies sold than 'Pokémon Sword/Pokémon Shield', this market will resolve to YES.

If 2025 begins and Nintendo has never released data showing that TotK has sold more copies than Sw/Sh, this market will resolve to NO.

For reference, at the time of market creation, 'Pokémon Sword/Pokémon Shield' is listed as having sold 25.82 million copies as of the March 31st, 2023 update to the figures.

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18.5 million sold in about two and a half months - I'd say it's on track to surpass SwSh's 25 million by the end of the year, especially with holiday sales.

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