Skip to main content
MANIFOLD
Will Oppenheimer win more Oscars than all of the other Best Picture nominees combined?
42
Ṁ811Ṁ41k
resolved Mar 11
Resolved
NO

There are 10 Best Picture nominees: Oppenheimer, and 9 others.

If Oppenheimer wins more Academy Awards (across every category) than all of the other films nominated for Best Picture combined, this question will resolve yes. If it wins equally as many or fewer, this question will resolve no.

Market context
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#TraderTotal profit
1Ṁ258
2Ṁ108
3Ṁ100
4Ṁ100
5Ṁ32
Sort by:
bought Ṁ6,000 NO

Oppenheimer 7
Poor things 4, Zone of interest 2 Barbie 1 Anatomy of a fall 1 The holdovers 1 totals 9 I think

for a meta prediction, if Oppenheimer wins <8, this is NO, if it wins >=9, it's YES, and if it wins 8, it's probably NO (maybe ~10%).