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2027
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On February 26th, 2024, Nintendo of America Inc. filed a federal lawsuit in the District Court of Rhode Island against Tropic Haze LLC, the makers of the Switch emulator Yuzu.

If they file a suit against the makers of Ryujinx, another Switch emulator, before 1st January 2027, this question will resolve yes.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ryujinx

https://www.scribd.com/document/709016504/Nintendo-of-America-Inc-v-Tropic-Haze-LLC-1-24-Cv-00082-No-1-D-R-I-Feb-26-2024

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My rationale for betting no:

If Nintendo wins the suit against Yuzu, Ryujinx will likely wind down operations or restructure things to ensure compliance with (or at least, avoidance of) any new legal precedent. I don't think they're profit-motivated, so will do their best to minimise legal risk - i.e. its in their best interests to avoid legal confrontation. Thus, I don't think there'd be any need for Nintendo to try to sue them in the first place.

If Nintendo loses the suit against Yuzu, they're unlikely to go after Ryujinux. They almost certainly picked Yuzu because they felt their case there was stronger, and if they can't win that one then they have little reason to expect to win against Ryujinx.

sold Ṁ50 NO

So iiuc, yuzu has settled out of court - https://www.theverge.com/2024/3/4/24090357/nintendo-yuzu-emulator-lawsuit-settlement

Which foolishly is not something I considered in my initial analysis - I'm now uncertain, so I'm backing out of my bet!

@Retr0id doesn't look like out-of-court to me

@Tripping or does the fact that it's a joint motion mean it was an out of court settlement?

idk, this is all way beyond my legal understanding lol. iiuc what's happened so far is an agreement between the two companies, with no court involved, but I'm not sure

bought Ṁ5 NO

If it's just a C&D, would that resolve to no?

@Retr0id a C&D wouldn't be enough to resolve to yes

bought Ṁ50 NO

If a c&c isn’t enough to resolve to yes, then this is an easy NO.

Ryu will fold if hit by a c&d. They haven’t been making money off of it, so have nothing to be shaken down for in court.

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