Will Nintendo release a successor to their Switch console before the end of September, 2024?
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If it can play games that the old Switch can't, then even if it's fully backwards compatible, I'll count it as a successor (as in the case of game boy advance to game boy colour, or wii to gamecube).
If the Switch can play all the games that the successor can, then I probably won't count it (e.g. 2DS, Switch OLED, Advance SP).
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Going all-in on the reliability of Eurogamer reporting: https://www.eurogamer.net/nintendo-switch-2-release-date-now-q1-2025-report
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