Will Ireland make it to the 2023 Rugby World Cup Final?
31
62
แน€570
resolved Oct 15
Resolved
NO

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2023_Rugby_World_Cup

The 2023 Rugby World Cup Final match is scheduled to take place on the 28th of October, 2023, at Stade de France, Saint-Denis.

Get แน€1,000 play money

๐Ÿ… Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1แน€351
2แน€86
3แน€58
4แน€43
5แน€15
Sort by:
bought แน€13 of YES

Ireland is an interesting market They are currently ranked number one in the world, so should be higher than 20%. They were ranked outside of the top four when the group draws were made, so their pool contains South Africa and Scotland, both games they should win but could easily lose (which would eliminate them).

The biggest concern though, is that Pool B is paired with Pool A, containing France and New Zealand. It's hard to predict who will top that group, but as long as Ireland qualify for the quarter final they will have to play one of those teams. It will depend on in-tournament form of course, but that looks like a tough path for Ireland.

Then of course the semi final will be tough, but potentially less so because they won't have to face South Africa, France or New Zealand (ranked higher than England, Australia and Argentina).

@JoshuaWilkes just revisiting this - very well summed up ๐Ÿ‘ I'm thinking odds are slightly below 50:50 because of Scotland banana peel (again as you say, should win but hard in a one off game) and then quarterfinal. Semifinal should probably be more straightforward than quarter