Will Eliezer Yudkowsky go on The Inside View podcast by the end of 2023?
10
46
Ṁ653Ṁ230
Jan 2
9%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Amount
Ṁ0
Ṁ50
Ṁ100
Payout if YES
Ṁ102 +925.2%
New probability
11% +2.0%
https://www.youtube.com/@TheInsideView/videos
Resolves based on when the episode comes out, not when the episode is recorded.
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Robin Greenbought Ṁ10 of NO
His 2023 podcast strategy, contra his pre-2023 blogging/fanfic/publication strategy, seems to be to maximise public awareness of the problem; listeners and watchers of the Inside View are already aware of the problem if they've been paying attention.
That said, what he wants to talk about is very on-topic for the podcast, so I don't want to say it has a very low probability.
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