Will Donald Trump win at least fifteen states in the Republican primaries?
15
closes 2024
78%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Amount
Ṁ0
Ṁ50
Ṁ100
Payout if YES
Ṁ12 +28%
New probability
79% +0.6%
Resolves YES if Donald Trump wins the most delegates in at least fifteen states during the 2024 Republican presidential primaries. Resolves NO otherwise.
The source of the official delegate count will be the Republican National Committee (RNC), and any disputes about the delegate count will be resolved based on the RNC's official statements.
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