For the purposes of this market:
Unlisted videos do not count.
Members only videos do not count.
Youtube Live Livestream VODs do not count.
Shorts do not count.
Private videos do not count.
If a video is deleted/privated after initially being public it stops counting towards the total at that point.
Only publicly released videos on the main channel count.
If at any point in 2023 there are 9 uploaded videos on the CGP Grey main youtube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@CGPGrey/videos) that were first uploaded/published in 2023, then this market will resolve to YES.
If 2023 passes and this has not happened, this market will resolve to NO.
1,000
3.00@traders Created one for this year: https://manifold.markets/esusatyo/will-cgp-grey-upload-9-or-more-vide-0282ae2c4540?r=ZXN1c2F0eW8
Not necessarily a "for certain" sign, but you can hear from the first 12s preview of CGP Grey's video to the "Bonny Bees" (patrons/paid supporters) where they says "...it's the end of the year, I've closed down Grey Industries, sent everyone home for the holidays..."
Considering how CGP Grey has said in the past how they will release/publish videos pretty much immediately when it's ready for uploading, this to me sounds like almost certain there isn't another video.
But who knows! Maybe a little Christmas gift or New Year's video is already uploaded and ready to be published automatically. But seems unlikely based on wjat Grey has done and said about themself in the past.
As of market creation there are these 4 publicly released:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AnHF0R8qd3M
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BHMF-FlkqPw
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=l4w6808wJcU
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=U0wTDK0VOeY
At least 5 more would be needed to make 9.
@Tripping https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AnHF0R8qd3M is private? Which video was this?
@Shelvacu That was the one about using his subreddit to submit questions for the 1 billion views qna I assume