Who will break the 5/5 stranglehold on Super Mario 64 speedrunning and collect the world record bounty?

Question

Since 17th November, 2024, GreenSuigi or Suigi has held all 5 of the main category Super Mario 64 speedrunning world records (120, 70, 16, 1, 0).

On February 9th, 2026, Suigi announced a bounty rewarding whoever broke the 5/5 by getting a world record in one of the 5 categories, personally funding $1000 into the pool with crowdfunding adding more.

This market resolves to whoever breaks 5/5 by getting a world record in a major category and turning 5/5 into 4/5.

See also: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8K1-kO7oe6E

Manifold Markets · Answer

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, Weegee, followed by Benji and Karin are most likely. See the market for live updates (12 traders, as of Apr 21, 2026).

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