Which teams will qualify for the 2030 FIFA World Cup?

Question

6 teams will qualify as co-hosts, Morocco, Argentina, Paraguay, Uruguay, Portugal, and Spain. The other teams that qualify for the tournament will resolve YES. All other teams will resolve NO. If 48 teams qualify, 42 answers will resolve YES. If 64 teams qualify, 58 answers will resolve YES. If some other number of teams qualify, some other number of answers will resolve YES.

(https://manifold.markets/embed/Tripping/which-team-will-win-the-2030-fifa-w-COqZy25P2g)

Manifold Markets · Answer

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, France, followed by Brazil and Germany are most likely. See the market for live updates (48 traders, as of Aug 21, 2026).

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