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MANIFOLD
How far will the USA get in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
32
Ṁ1kṀ13k
resolved Jul 7
Resolved
YES
Past the Group Stage
Resolved
YES
Past the Round of 32
Resolved
NO
Past the Round of 16
Resolved
NO
Past the Quarterfinals
Resolved
NO
Past the Semifinals
Resolved
NO
They will win the World Cup

For a response to resolve YES, they mustn't merely reach that stage of the tournament, they have to get past it. For example, for "Past the Round of 16" they would have to win their Round of 16 match and reach the Quarterfinals.

I noticed that there wasn't a cumulative probability version of this market, which is the best way to do this kind of market.

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@Tripping yes for past round of 32