Israel directly strikes Iran by May
117
1.4kṀ44kresolved Apr 19
Resolved
YES1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Proxy (eg arming/inciting a group to attack) attacks don’t count. Damage must violate Iranian territory (including embassies) or a foreign base, but striking a proxy group (like Hezbollah) won’t count.
Surgical retaliation (eg an assassination) will count so long as it occurs in any of the aforementioned domains.
Market won’t resolve til >3 days after close date to account for delay between the event and report (with a prolonged delay should a thereto unsubstantiated allegation emerge). Once resolved, the resolution won’t change even if new information comes to light.
Closes 00:00 May 1st, GMT
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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