Proxy (eg arming/inciting a group to attack) attacks don’t count. Damage must violate Iranian territory (including embassies) or a foreign base, but striking a proxy group (like Hezbollah) won’t count.
Surgical retaliation (eg an assassination) will count so long as it occurs in any of the aforementioned domains.
Market won’t resolve til >3 days after close date to account for delay between the event and report (with a prolonged delay should a thereto unsubstantiated allegation emerge). Once resolved, the resolution won’t change even if new information comes to light.
Closes 00:00 May 1st, GMT
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@Jan53274 The 3+ day delay from close date was meant to account for news not breaking out immediately.
I didn’t resolve it earlier when it was just US officials, but it’s been confirmed by multiple Iranian, Israeli, and US officials according to the NYT, which is credible.
“The Israeli military struck Iran early on Friday, according to two Israeli and three Iranian officials, …hit[ting] a military air base near the city of Isfahan, in central Iran”
https://www.nytimes.com/live/2024/04/18/world/israel-iran-gaza-war-news
