The stats are: mother of 2 kids (3 y.o. - kindergarten short-stay for 3 hours per day, 9 y.o. schoolgirl); minor health problems (at least 10 days per month when I'm feeling unwell and not fit for writing); 1 day per week nanny, actively present second parent; 1 day of general cleaning help, the maintenance cleaning (daily &weekly) on me. I dedicate at least 1 hour to writing, splitting it into sessions of 10 to 30 mins. My average word count (started on 1 of January) is 860 words; total written 63k words. This corresponds with the step-by-step plan which consists of 26 bullet points, I am currently at 6th point. But I am finding the further three points pretty collapsible and not that significant and may adjust the pacing to the plot.

Will I be able to finish the first draft by the end of July of 2023, if I take proper care of my health, of my children, and dedicate as much or more time to writing?

Update 31st May : We hired a nanny, so nany time is five days per week, which gives me additional time to write. It generally increased my writing time up to 5 hours, not all the time though. So I am on average now spending at least 2 hours on writing, maximum 5 hrs. I revised the plan and took a break from writing though, currently at approximately 100k words, at 60% of the plan. Incoming events include relatives (which normally is a bad influence on my writing speed) + I broke ny bluetooth keyboard (which also blocks me from writing literally everywhere, now I've got to take my heavy laptop which only lasts for 3 hrs without charging). But my average words per day is 2000-2200 words.

Update 15th July: I finished the writing according to my plan on 10th of July, but was left unhappy with the lack of epilogue or just had more to say, so I added some more scenes, because it's the firstest draft and I can afford to play with it. Anyway 15th of July I am stopping with working on the first draft, and everything written/added/excluded from the draft is going to be called draft 2, and it's a whole other site of work. Thank you everyone who betted - yes or no! Great inspiration and motivation.