Manifold lets you pick the colors on multiple choice markets now! Which color do you think is the most appealing?
Resolves based on a poll that will be released once this market closes.
The most voted for answer in the poll resolves to 100%, 2nd place resolves to 90%, and so on. 11-18th place will all resolve to 0%.
1,000π Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | αΉ35 | |
| 2 | αΉ23 | |
| 3 | αΉ5 | |
| 4 | αΉ4 | |
| 5 | αΉ2 |
Results are in! Fittingly, the greenest option resolves YES, and the reddest option resolved as the most NO. I put the votes into a pie chart to show the distribution:
The only color not shown is tomato, which is the only color to get 0 votes.
Here's the rankings I used for calculating the results, if anyone is curious:
With so many options itβs likely there will be some ties so Iβm going to clarify how that works now:
If a tie happens the tied colors will resolve to the average of the positions they tie for. For example, if the top two colors are tied, they both get (100% + 90%) / 2 = 95%. Or if three options tie for second highest, they will all resolve to (90% + 80% + 70%) / 3 = 80%