Resolution criteria

This market resolves to YES if, as of December 31, 2035, the Principality of Liechtenstein exists as an independent, sovereign state.

The market will resolve to NO if, by December 31, 2035, Liechtenstein has ceased to exist as an independent nation—for example, if it has been annexed, has voluntarily merged with another country (such as Switzerland or Austria), or has otherwise lost its status as a sovereign state.

Source of Verification: The primary source of truth will be the official list of United Nations Member States. If Liechtenstein is listed as an active, independent member state on this list (or a direct successor official UN list), the market resolves to YES.

If the UN member state registry is unavailable or ambiguous, the market will resolve based on international diplomatic consensus, referencing official statements from the Swiss Federal Department of Foreign Affairs or the European Union.

Background

Liechtenstein is a landlocked European microstate bordered by Switzerland and Austria. Formed in 1719, it achieved full independence in 1866 following the dissolution of the German Confederation. The country operates as a highly stable constitutional monarchy, currently headed by Prince Hans-Adam II, with Hereditary Prince Alois serving as regent.

Liechtenstein is a member of the United Nations (admitted in 1990), the European Free Trade Association (EFTA), and the Council of Europe. While it is not a member of the European Union, it participates in the European Economic Area (EEA) and the Schengen Area. It shares a customs and monetary union with Switzerland, utilizing the Swiss franc as its official currency. Despite its small size of roughly 160 square kilometers, it has one of the highest standards of living and GDP per capita in the world. This market monitors whether Liechtenstein maintains its independent sovereign status through the year 2035.

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