Trump launches Berlusconi Visa program?
4
100Ṁ126
2028
23%
chance

Resolution Criteria

This market resolves YES if Donald Trump launches an immigration program for women with a requirement of being unmarried and being under some particular age threshold, by the end of his term. The program must be formally announced by Trump or his administration and must be an actual policy initiative, not just a casual reference or joke.

Background

Donald Trump has proposed immigration reforms including a "Gold Card" visa program that would allow wealthy investors to obtain a visa and potentially a pathway to U.S. citizenship by investing $5 million in the United States.

The term "Berlusconi Visa" is a semi-ironic reference to a comment that former Italian-PM SIlvio Berlusconi made that illegal immigrants were not welcome in Italy but that he would make an exception for "beautiful girls". This fits into the pronatalist agendas of JD Vance and others aligned with Trump.

Considerations

This does not refer to the existing pathways for immigration to the US for Fashion Models under O-1 or H-1B visa programs.

Sources

https://manifold.markets/Predictor/will-the-usa-gold-card-launch-in-20

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/europe/italy/7223365/Silvio-Berlusconi-says-immigrants-not-welcome-but-beautiful-girls-can-stay.html

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