Will the USA Gold Card launch in 2025?
6
100αΉ€158
2026
21%
chance

Background

President Donald Trump has recently introduced the concept of a "gold card" as a new pathway to U.S. citizenship. This initiative is designed to attract wealthy individuals who can make significant investments in the United States. The gold card would cost $5 million and is intended to replace the existing EB-5 Immigrant Investor Program, which currently allows investors to apply for permanent residence by investing in U.S. commercial enterprises and creating or preserving jobs.

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to YES if an official gold card program for U.S. citizenship is formally announced and implemented by the U.S. government by the market close date. The program must specifically be called a "gold card" program and must provide a direct pathway to citizenship or permanent residency for wealthy investors.

The market will resolve to NO if no such program is officially announced and implemented by the market close date, or if a similar program is implemented but not officially designated as a "gold card" program.

Considerations

  • The gold card concept is currently a proposal and has not yet been formally implemented as official U.S. policy

  • Implementation would likely require legislative action or executive orders

  • The program would represent a significant shift in U.S. immigration policy, emphasizing economic contributions as a pathway to citizenship

  • The proposal may face legal challenges and political opposition before implementation

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