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FIDE Chess Candidates 2026 Round 12 Predictions
9
Ṁ100Ṁ974
resolved Apr 12
Resolved
NO
Esipenko (W) beats Praggnanandhaa (B)
Resolved
NO
Bluebaum (W) beats Caruana (B)
Resolved
NO
Sindarov (W) beats Nakamura (B)
Resolved
NO
Wei Yi (W) beats Giri (B)

Resolution

Round 12 starts on April 12 at 8:30 AM EST. Results will be determined by the official FIDE Candidates Tournament 2026 standings, available at Chess.com's live results page or the official event website. Players receive 1 point for a win, ½ point for a draw, and 0 points for a loss. The question "Player X (W) beats Player Y (B)" will resolve to YES if Player X beats Player Y. It will resolve to NO if the result is a draw or a loss.

Background

The 2026 Candidates Tournament is an eight-player tournament that determines the challenger for the World Chess Championship 2026. This event lasts from March 28th to April 16, 2026. This is a double round-robin tournament with 14 rounds. Each player will have the opportunity to play with white and black against the seven other players.

Player ratings pre-Candidates are as follows:

Hikaru Nakamura: 2810 (World #2)

Fabiano Caruana: 2795 (World #3)

Wei Yi: 2754 (World #8)

Anish Giri: 2753 (World #9)

Javokhir Sindarov: 2745 (World #11)

Praggnanandhaa R: 2741 (World #12)

Andrey Esipenko: 2698 (World #32)

Matthias Bluebaum: 2698 (World #34)

Live ratings are available at 2700chess.com

Updated standings after Round 11 are as follows:

1. Sindarov - 8.5

2. Giri - 6.5

3. Caruana - 5.5

(T4). Nakamura - 5.0

(T4). Wei Yi - 5.0

(T4). Bluebaum - 5.0

7. Praggnanandhaa - 4.5

8. Esipenko - 4.0

Round 11 Pairings

Esipenko (W) vs. Praggnanandhaa (B)

Bluebaum (W) vs. Caruana (B)

Sindarov (W) vs. Nakamura (B)

Wei Yi (W) vs. Giri (B)

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@traders Round 13 predictions are available below. Giri needs to win the next 2 games in a row, and Sindarov has to lose both of his games for there to be a tiebreak.

https://manifold.markets/TomOqhPy/fide-chess-candidates-2026-round-13?r=VG9tT3FoUHk