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I'm glad you made it Toby

Can resolve yes

@BenjaminIkuta I don't have a stake in this market, but his profit could still dip to red before the end of the year, right? It seems weird to resolve this market early.

@Mqrius I've usually interpreted "by" to mean at "any point before the specified time" in my other markets and used "on" if the condition has to be met at a specific point in time, so resolving it early is at least consistent with my other markets.

See for example: https://manifold.markets/Toby96/will-i-reach-master-rank-on-manifol

Will I reach Master rank on Manifold by the end of the year?

5% chance. Resolves yes if at any point between the creation of this market and the end of the year, I am ranked Master on Manifold. Otherwise it resolves no.

I will try to use "before" instead on future market to remove ambiguity though.

@Toby96 Fair enough! Yeah, "by" is pretty ambiguous in many markets, I always try to avoid it as well.

As someone who's digging their way out, 200 profit in 3 months is easy. The question will be whether you have the will to do it.

@tfae yeah the question is more like, is he gonna stay on it