Resolution will be based on average view count provided from Twitter. His FOX show had an average of 3-3.5 million viewers.
If he doesn't go through with it, market resolves N/A.
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Resolving this market YES based on the 3.8 million view count figure provided by Business insider, compared to his Nielsen ratings of 3-3.5 million viewers.
It is of course arguable that these are not similar, but I set up the condition of resolution when I created the market, and I must abide by them.
I think this is a reasonable this to resolve on. It gives counts for video views, although perhaps but for the show you wanted.
https://mashable.com/article/tucker-carlson-x-trump-interview-twitter-video-view-count
@WrongoPhD Thank you for the help! I'm not sure what the show was a month after it started airing as I no longer have access to Twitter, so I'm going to leave this question open for a while in case anyone can find that show or the video metrics for it. Gotta be fair.
@TiredCliche I believe his Andrew Tate interview was a month in to his show, but Twitter only shows the tweet views and not the video views. Tweet views are like 90 million but probably also worthless to know who actually watched.
@WrongoPhD i think to resolve a different market of mine I will soon be forced to get an X plus account, so I'll probably just resolve this at that time
@TiredCliche I think is probably the best you are going to do. It's an article from July that quotes 3.8 million views. I believe this show started in June, so it's about a month after his show premiered.
https://www.businessinsider.com/tucker-carlson-on-twitter-views-drop-86-percent-since-launch-2023-7