Remember when a bunch of establishments banned Google Glasses? This market is about whether anywhere will ban the upcoming Rewind Pendant within one year after its release.
EDIT: It's now called the Limitless Pendant, I guess. Not out yet.
Update 2024-19-12 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Both public establishments (e.g. restaurants) and private establishments (e.g. offices, workplaces) count for resolution
A ban by any type of establishment will resolve this market as YES
So, I just got a YouTube ad for the pendant. I was surprised. It previously was advertised as a tool for meetings and work stuff, but this ad started with an actor saying "I am never defeated an argument now" and explaining that the pendant is there to record everything. Then a very fake argument with his "girlfriend" where she says "I never said that!" but he wears the pendant so he can own his bitch girlfriend with facts and logic.
From this I conclude two things:
Rewind is struggling, because they have to be trying to get consumers in the highly motivated demographic of "guys whose girlfriends lie about what they said previously." Perhaps an untapped market but I'm skeptical.
If I'm getting served YouTube ads, that makes it likely that others will too, and might sour on a "device that records everything."
@kaiemon Q1, didn't think of that. It doesn't count.
Q2, no, as long as rewind pendants are functionally banned then market resolves yes.
@TiredCliche When you say "the answer must be yes", do you mean "yes, it doesn't count" or do you mean "it would make the question resolve yes"? If it is the former, does that mean it would resolve to No if the product doesn't release before the question close date?
@kaiemon Yes, it wouldn't count. As to the close date, I am going to set it to one year from the product release date, once the product is released.
@MitchLindgren yes and yes. This is literally what this market is about. Like how some restaurants and stuff banned google glasses.
@TiredCliche I’m not talking about places like restaurants where the public is allowed to come in. I meant a private workplace like an office.
Put a small buy order at 70% Yes, because all this needs is one bar in the Pacific northwest to put a sign up and it resolves Yes.