Will Naim Qassem's successor be killed in 2024?
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9
Ṁ1710Dec 31
12%
chance
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Resolves no if Naim Qassem is still the leader of Hezbollah
Resolves no if Naim Qassem dies and no successor is chosen
Resolves yes if Naim Qassem's leadership position is ended, a new person fills that role, and then that individual is killed before 12:01 am 1/1/25 ET
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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