Will there be >15 women infected in the current monkeypox outbreak?
10
103Ṁ3108
resolved Aug 4
Resolved
YES
Will I be aware of more than 15 females infected? https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1CEBhao3rMe-qtCbAgJTn5ZKQMRFWeAeaiXFpBY3gbHE/edit#gid=0 Resolves no after closing(end 2023), or if the outbreak seems over. #Epidemic #ID #infectiousdisease #pox #Science #Monkeypox #Covid
World
Science
Monkeypox
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ20
2Ṁ15
3Ṁ15
4Ṁ14
5Ṁ12
Sort by:
predictedYES
[https://www.cdc.gov/poxvirus/monkeypox/clinicians/technical-report.html#summary] states that there are 13 females with monkeypox in the US as of July 25, 2022. If I am reading the spreadsheet linked in the market description correctly, there are at least two confirmed cases of monkeypox in females in countries other than the US.
@Duncan Yeah, I guess that is good enough.
Yeah it seems the UK reports 13 cases as well, that should be enough. https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/monkeypox-outbreak-technical-briefings/investigation-into-monkeypox-outbreak-in-england-technical-briefing-4
Ok, I suspect the source is not up to date. Does anyone have another one?
@TimP The source I'm using still only list 5 _confirmed_ women infected. I am unsure this is very useful since non-gay men have a very hard time getting access to tests, from what I understand
The linked spreadsheet seems to have 18 female cases in it. Time to resolve YES?
At the moment it has five confirmed female cases.
There already are more than 15, there were 17 female cases a month ago
I can link you to the whole dataset, or each cases individually
If you have another dataset that would be interesting.
@TimP Nevermind, I forgot to check the confirmation status, a lot of them are only suspected, there's only 5 confirmed cases now. Sorry for that.
@JoyVoid No problem.
© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules