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MANIFOLD
Who will win March Madness?
26
Ṁ500Ṁ12k
resolved Apr 8
100%99.7%
Florida
0.0%
Duke
0.0%
Auburn
0.0%
Michigan
0.0%
Ole Miss
0.0%
Maryland
0.0%
Texas Tech
0.0%
Arkansas
0.0%
Arizona
0.0%
BYU
0.0%
Alabama
0.0%
Houston
0.0%
Purdue
0.0%
Kentucky
0.0%
Tennessee
0.0%
Michigan State
0.0%Other

You can add teams I forgot.

Resolution Criteria

This market resolves to the NCAA Division I men's basketball team that wins the 2025 NCAA Tournament (March Madness). The market will resolve to the team that is officially declared the champion after the tournament concludes in April 2025.

Background

The NCAA Division I Men's Basketball Tournament, commonly known as March Madness, is a single-elimination tournament featuring 68 college basketball teams competing for the national championship. The tournament typically begins in mid-March and concludes in early April.

Current odds and expert analysis suggest several top contenders:

  • Duke Blue Devils: Currently favored with odds around +290 to +300. Duke remains strong despite some injury concerns, including Cooper Flagg's recent health issues.

  • Florida Gators: Close behind Duke with odds around +380 to +400, showing versatility in recent tournaments.

  • Auburn Tigers: The No. 1 overall seed with odds of approximately +500, though they face a challenging bracket.

  • Houston Cougars: With odds around +650 to +700, Houston is noted for their balanced offense and defense.

  • Alabama Crimson Tide: Considered a potential dark horse with odds around +1400 to +2000.

  • Tennessee Volunteers: Similar to Alabama with odds around +1800.

Other teams like UConn (recent champions), Kansas, Gonzaga, Kentucky, North Carolina, Purdue, Arizona, Baylor, Michigan State, and Villanova are also in the tournament but generally have longer odds according to current predictions.

Considerations

March Madness is notoriously unpredictable, with upsets and unexpected runs common throughout tournament history. A team's seeding, recent performance, strength of schedule, injuries, and tournament experience can all impact their chances, but "bracket busters" emerge nearly every year.

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I’m asking this to make sure that I don’t screw this up. Is there a way to resolve this so that some teams are “no”? For example BYU lost, but right now I don’t see any option to do that

@Tiger On this market type, everything has to be resolved at the same time, so you'll have to wait til the winner is determined and then the other options will automatically resolve NO.

@travis Ok thanks! By the way, does set have this feature?

@Tiger yes

@travis K, thanks.