Will there be a significant update to the way Manifold markets work for more users with large budgets?
4
110Ṁ195
resolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO

It seems like as the rich get richer, it will become harder for them to coexist with new users, without these top users completely dominating the predicted probabilities.

I will not bid on this market.

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these top users completely dominating the predicted probabilities.

This seems basically to be markets working as intended! So I don't think it will change any time soon.

@chrisjbillington my reasoning is that liquidity subsidies are useful, but already move Manifold away from the completely idealized free market. However, subsidies kind of exist relative to the bankroll of the market participants. So as bankrolls diverge, subsidies will be either effectively zero or infinity for some market participants, which seems suboptimal.

@Thomas42 however, agreed it's unlikely for anything to happen this year

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