Will the Google Gemini App have 10M installs by the end of the year?
18
Ṁ1kṀ2kresolved Sep 23
Resolved
YES1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
I will use the bucketized install counts shown in the play store.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ142 | |
| 2 | Ṁ113 | |
| 3 | Ṁ19 | |
| 4 | Ṁ10 | |
| 5 | Ṁ10 |
Sort by:
I'm already seeing 10m downloads online? https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=com.google.android.apps.bard&hl=en_US
@mods market creator has deleted their account, it seems like this can resolve YES.
(Even if they meant at EOY, downloads aren't going to go down.)
People are also trading
Related questions
By when will Google add ads to Gemini?
Will Google release a Gemini version > 3.1 before May 2026?
34% chance
Will Google Gemini rank above ChatGPT in the App Store at EOY 2026?
33% chance
Google deploys ads in Gemini web or mobile app by end of 2026
25% chance
Is Gemini going to be used widely as a verb like how Google is used by EOY 2026?
4% chance
Will Gemini be more popular than Chatgpt at the end of 2027?
48% chance