
Will another country follow El Salvador in adopting Bitcoin as legal tender by the end of 2025?
Will another country follow El Salvador in adopting Bitcoin as legal tender by the end of 2025?
14
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68%
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After El Salvador's pioneering move to adopt Bitcoin as legal tender, the financial and political world has been abuzz with the potential for other nations to follow suit. This market focuses on the possibility of at least one more country making a similar decision by the end of 2025. Amid fluctuating cryptocurrency values, evolving regulatory landscapes, and changing economic pressures, will another nation join El Salvador in this bold financial experiment? Bet on the future of Bitcoin as a recognized currency across the globe.
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Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
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