Will I be alive to press the "YES" button tomorrow?

Basic

Ṁ6399

resolved Feb 24

Resolved

YES

ALL

This market resolves to "YES" at noon tomorrow, unless I am permanently indisposed by then and thus unable to press the button. I have no reason to think I won't be alive tomorrow. I have made no arrangements for the resolution of this market in the event of my death. This market is ~~a naked grab for 4% of the total pool~~ an experiment with the platform. Close date updated to 2022-02-24 12:00 pm

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

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3 Comments

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But I do expect you to be alive tomorrow :)

It is 4% of profits, not 4% of pool.

I think you'll be alive, but I think there's a small but non-negligible probability that, given your admitting that you want profit, you resolve no because it makes you more.

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