Will I be alive to press the "YES" button tomorrow?
27
Ṁ100Ṁ6.4kresolved Feb 24
Resolved
YES1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market resolves to "YES" at noon tomorrow, unless I am permanently indisposed by then and thus unable to press the button. I have no reason to think I won't be alive tomorrow. I have made no arrangements for the resolution of this market in the event of my death. This market is ~~a naked grab for 4% of the total pool~~ an experiment with the platform.
Close date updated to 2022-02-24 12:00 pm
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ18 | |
| 2 | Ṁ18 | |
| 3 | Ṁ16 | |
| 4 | Ṁ16 | |
| 5 | Ṁ8 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Will I be alive in 2 years time?
95% chance
Will I be alive at the start of 2100?
22% chance
Will I be alive through 2052?
88% chance
Will I be alive at the start of 2040?
84% chance
Will I be alive by 2100?
59% chance
Will I be alive in 2116?
32% chance
Will I be alive at the start of 2050?
74% chance
Will I be alive at the start of 2090?
32% chance
Will I be alive at the start of 2060?
64% chance
Will I be alive at the start of 2030?
96% chance