Will I be alive to press the "YES" button tomorrow?
27
11
resolved Feb 24
Resolved
YES
This market resolves to "YES" at noon tomorrow, unless I am permanently indisposed by then and thus unable to press the button. I have no reason to think I won't be alive tomorrow. I have made no arrangements for the resolution of this market in the event of my death. This market is ~~a naked grab for 4% of the total pool~~ an experiment with the platform. Close date updated to 2022-02-24 12:00 pm
Get Ṁ200 play money

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ18
2Ṁ17
3Ṁ16
4Ṁ16
5Ṁ8
3 Comments
42 Trades
Sort by:
sold Ṁ1 of NO
But I do expect you to be alive tomorrow :)
bought Ṁ1 of NO
It is 4% of profits, not 4% of pool.
sold Ṁ42 of YES
I think you'll be alive, but I think there's a small but non-negligible probability that, given your admitting that you want profit, you resolve no because it makes you more.

Related questions