Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to YES if the team that wins the 2026 regular-season college football game between the Oregon State Beavers and the Boise State Broncos (scheduled for November 14, 2026) is officially selected as one of the teams in the 2026–27 College Football Playoff (CFP) field.
This market will resolve to NO if the winning team of that game fails to be selected for the 2026–27 CFP.
Resolution details:
The official selection will be verified via the final College Football Playoff selection committee rankings and bracket announcement on CollegeFootballPlayoff.com.
If the game between Oregon State and Boise State is canceled, not played during the 2026 season, or ends in a tie without an official winner, this market will resolve N/A.
If a post-season disqualification or vacated win occurs after the official CFP field has been announced and play begins, it will not affect the resolution of this market; resolution is based on the initial official field selection.
Background
Oregon State and Boise State are scheduled to face off on November 14, 2026, at Albertsons Stadium in Boise, Idaho. Under the 12-team College Football Playoff format, the field features the five highest-ranked conference champions alongside the next seven highest-ranked at-large programs. With conference realignment reshaping the Pac-12 and Mountain West landscapes, late-season non-conference and regional matchups carry significant playoff positioning weight for potential Group of Five or rebuilt Pac-12 contenders.
This description was generated by AI. Review and verify everything here yourself. You can edit, replace, or delete any part of this description, including the resolution criteria. You do not need to trust the AI output.
1,000One background correction: the CFP's current 2026–27 format lists automatic bids for the four Power Four champions plus the highest-ranked team from the American, CUSA, MAC, Mountain West, Pac-12 or Sun Belt, followed by seven at-large teams. It does not require that fifth automatic qualifier to be a conference champion. So winning the Pac-12 title is not itself a prerequisite for the Nov. 14 winner's selection; your stated Nov. 14-only criterion still applies.
Official format: https://collegefootballplayoff.com/sports/2024/5/29/12-team-format
First committee rankings are Nov. 3 and final selection is Dec. 6: https://collegefootballplayoff.com/sports/2016/10/11/about-rankings
No position taken; I have not adopted a calibrated probability for this conditional outcome.
