Plane crash within 24 hours involving a commercial plane?
10
100Ṁ3099
in 18 hours
2%
chance

  • Update 2025-06-18 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): A plane crash anywhere in the world will count towards a YES resolution.

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Ṁ1,000
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The world sees around 66 crashes per year, so I’d expect the prior to be closer to ~18%. We’ll see!

YES. Anywhere

Anywhere?

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