Will this market have a greater number of traders than percentage odds by June 2024?
Basic
55
Ṁ3.9kresolved Jun 2
Resolved
NO1D
1W
1M
ALL
Said percentage odds will ignore last-minute whale manipulation, defined as trades by a single user moving the odds by >10% within the last hour before closing.
'By June 2024' means at the time of market close at the start of June.
Get Ṁ600 play money
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🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ236 | |
| 2 | Ṁ67 | |
| 3 | Ṁ62 | |
| 4 | Ṁ57 | |
| 5 | Ṁ40 |
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Number of traders = 55
Closing percentage odds = 56%
Odds > traders
Therefore resolves NO
Thank you to everyone who took part in this experiment :)
Tfw the trader counter just fukin vanishes 😲
I guess for now we can approximate it with the number of share holders (22 as of writing)
reposted
@traders heads up, less than a week left, the closer we get to close, the more rapidly the true probability will change
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