Will this market have a greater number of traders than percentage odds by June 2024?

1kṀ3924

resolved Jun 2

Resolved

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Said percentage odds will ignore last-minute whale manipulation, defined as trades by a single user moving the odds by >10% within the last hour before closing.

'By June 2024' means at the time of market close at the start of June.

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🏅 Top traders

#	Name	Total profit
1		Ṁ236
2		Ṁ67
3		Ṁ62
4		Ṁ57
5		Ṁ40

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Will this market get at least 77 traders by the end of 2025?

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Number of traders = 55

Closing percentage odds = 56%

Odds > traders

Therefore resolves NO

Thank you to everyone who took part in this experiment :)

bought Ṁ70 YES

It's June?

reposted

@traders 1 day left 🔥⏳

if this market ever reaches more than 100 traders, it will break

sold Ṁ22 NO

@Dvorakgigachad feel free to test this hypothesis haha

Tfw the trader counter just fukin vanishes 😲

I guess for now we can approximate it with the number of share holders (22 as of writing)

@TheAllMemeingEye In the 3-dot menu the number is there

At any time, or at market close?

@DanMan314 thanks, at market close

I'll update the description

reposted

@traders heads up, less than a week left, the closer we get to close, the more rapidly the true probability will change

bought Ṁ10 NO

It's big-brain time

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Will this market get at least 77 traders by the end of 2025?

94% chance

🏅 Top traders

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