Will this market have a greater number of traders than percentage odds by June 2024?
55
αΉ1kαΉ3.9kresolved Jun 2
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Said percentage odds will ignore last-minute whale manipulation, defined as trades by a single user moving the odds by >10% within the last hour before closing.
'By June 2024' means at the time of market close at the start of June.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000π Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | αΉ236 | |
| 2 | αΉ67 | |
| 3 | αΉ62 | |
| 4 | αΉ57 | |
| 5 | αΉ40 |
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Number of traders = 55
Closing percentage odds = 56%
Odds > traders
Therefore resolves NO
Thank you to everyone who took part in this experiment :)
Tfw the trader counter just fukin vanishes π²
I guess for now we can approximate it with the number of share holders (22 as of writing)
reposted
@traders heads up, less than a week left, the closer we get to close, the more rapidly the true probability will change