Will there be a coup/coup attempt in Brazil by the end of 2023?
41
47
810
resolved Jan 9
Resolved
YES

Resolves YES if there is a coup or a coup attempt in Brazil before December 31st, 2023 and resolves NO otherwise.

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predicted NO

The January 8th protesters stormed the Brazilian offices and demanded a coup in an attempt to seize the presidency for Jair Bolsonaro. I can confidently say that this was a coup attempt, so the market will resolve YES.

predicted NO

@TexanElite I have now lost money on that event twice, once because the other coup market resolved just before they did it, and once from betting against this one. So much for arbitrage.

bought Ṁ1,000 of YES

Yesterday was clearly a coup attemp, so this can resolve YES now. @TexanElite

predicted YES

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Coup_d%27%C3%A9tat

This was clearly a coup attempt by a small group of people who were brought by busses to Brasilia, escorted by police to the square of three powers and flanked by inaction by crucial figures in charge of security today.

When will you resolve to YES @TexanElite

predicted YES

Supporters of former Brazilian President Jair Bolsonaro who refuse to accept his electoral defeat stormed Congress, the Supreme Court and presidential palace in the capital Sunday, just a week after the inauguration of his leftist rival, President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva. https://www.latimes.com/world-nation/story/2023-01-08/pro-bolsonaro-protesters-storm-brazils-congress

Wow. It's like the January 6 US Capitol attack, except with competence

bought Ṁ30 of YES