Will the iPhone 15 starting price be greater than $799? | Manifold Markets

closes Jul 1

Will the iPhone 15 starting price be greater than $799?

72%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Resolves YES if the base model iPhone 15 costs more than $799, and resolves NO if the base model costs less than or equal to $799.

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Daniel Tellois predicting NO at 81%

Why the early close date, more than 2 months before likely resolution?

Daniel Tellobought Ṁ20 of NO

This includes the $30 connectivity discount in the US, right?

Dylan Pratt sold Ṁ18 YES at 72%

Daniel Tello bought Ṁ10 NO from 73% to 72%

Daniel Tello bought Ṁ20 NO from 75% to 73%

Daniel Tello created limit order for Ṁ50 YES at 25%

TheGreatDan bought Ṁ10 YES at 75%

Daniel Tello created limit order for Ṁ25 YES at 15% (cancelled)

Daniel Tello created limit order for Ṁ20 YES at 10% (cancelled)

Daniel Tello created limit order for Ṁ100 YES at 40%

Daniel Tello bought Ṁ5 NO at 75%

Daniel Tello bought Ṁ10 NO from 76% to 75%

Charlie bought Ṁ20 YES at 76%

oh no bought Ṁ10 YES from 75% to 76%

Daniel Tello bought Ṁ10 NO from 76% to 75%

muffins bought Ṁ10 YES at 76%

Daniel Tello bought Ṁ20 NO from 78% to 76%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ77/Ṁ100 YES at 78% (cancelled)

Daniel Tello bought Ṁ30 NO from 79% to 76%

Daniel Tello bought Ṁ20 NO from 81% to 79%

Lionel Messi sold Ṁ10 YES at 81%

Lionel Messi bought Ṁ10 YES at 81%

audrey sold Ṁ10 YES at 81%

Sir Thunderous bought Ṁ10 YES at 81%

Zardoru bought Ṁ10 NO from 82% to 81%

Juan bought Ṁ100 YES from 79% to 82%

Dylan Pratt bought Ṁ10 YES at 79%

Dylan Pratt bought Ṁ10 YES at 79%

audrey bought Ṁ10 YES from 78% to 79%

clark overhiser bought Ṁ10 YES at 78%

Nathan Huband bought Ṁ20 YES from 77% to 78%

Emil Slipsager Hedegaard bought Ṁ10 YES at 77%

I bought Ṁ10 YES from 76% to 77%

Epholys Gamedev bought Ṁ10 YES at 76%

Stig Johan bought Ṁ20 YES from 75% to 76%

Dan bought Ṁ10 YES at 75%

Nils bought Ṁ10 YES from 74% to 75%

muffins bought Ṁ10 YES from 73% to 74%

Ludovico bought Ṁ10 NO from 75% to 73%

Connor bought Ṁ10 YES from 74% to 75%

Joe Aase bought Ṁ40 YES from 72% to 74%

SCG bought Ṁ10 YES from 71% to 72%

TexanElite bought Ṁ10 NO from 73% to 71%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ11/Ṁ100 NO at 73% (cancelled)

Juan bought Ṁ50 YES from 72% to 75%

Marlon bought Ṁ10 YES from 71% to 72%

RJ Perez bought Ṁ10 YES from 70% to 71%

peter janicki bought Ṁ10 YES from 68% to 70%

Simon Mendelsohn bought Ṁ10 YES from 67% to 68%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ16/Ṁ100 YES at 67% (cancelled)

Godspeed bought Ṁ50 NO from 80% to 64%

Marcio Díaz bought Ṁ10 YES from 79% to 80%