Will the Supreme Court uphold the Ninth Circuit's judgment that California Proposition 12 doesn't violate the Commerce Clause?
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Ṁ5KṀ360
resolved May 11
Resolved
YES1D
1W
1M
ALL
The National Pork Producers Council & American Farm Bureau Federation is challenging California's Proposition 12, which limits pork sales in the state unless the pig was raised in certain humane conditions, in the Supreme Court.
Petition: https://www.supremecourt.gov/DocketPDF/21/21-468/193744/20210927102549231_NPPC%20v%20Ross%20Petition%20for%20Cert%20PDFA.pdf
News article on the matter: https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/supreme-court/supreme-court-agrees-consider-law-regulating-pigs-are-raised-rcna20665
This resolves YES if Prop 12 is found to be constitutional in this case, and NO if it's found to be unconstitutional in this case.
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Wikipedia article on the case: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/National_Pork_Producers_Council_v._Ross
The Supreme Court reverses 80% of decisions on average, implying a base rate ~20% chance this is upheld
Ballotpedia article: https://ballotpedia.org/National_Pork_Producers_Council_v._Ross
Case is scheduled for October 11th 2022.
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