Will the FCDO stop advising against all travel to Iran in the year X?
1
Ṁ500Ṁ1542029
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
16%
2026
16%
2027
24%
2028
34%
2029
Resolves YES for a year if, during that year, there is a part of Iran for which travel is either not advised against, or only non-essential travel is advised against.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Sort by:
reposted
Worth updating in light of the Iran deal? It is more of a normalisation with the West than I was expecting, though leaves the regime in place.
Note also that, like, Kabul being "advise against nonessential travel" is sufficient.
People are also trading
Related questions
Will the FCDO recommend against all travel to any part of Cuba in 2026?
69% chance
Will the FCDO advise against travel to Manama, Bahrain at any time by the end of 2026?
60% chance
Will the FCDO recommend against all travel to all parts of Cuba in 2026?
39% chance
Will the FCDO recommend against nonessential travel to all parts of Cuba in 2027?
51% chance
On January 1st 2027 will there be any part of Niger the FCDO does not recommend against all travel to?
27% chance
Safe to travel to Iran by EOY 2032?
48% chance
Will Iran strike US soil this year?
7% chance
will the US department of state issue surveillance-related travel warnings to people who visit china by EOY2028??
66% chance