Will Paradox release a grand strategy game that covers the year 632 as part of its unmodded timeline by the end of 2029?
1
100Ṁ10
2030
45%
chance

This includes DLC. This does not include nonstandard parts of play, e.g. a dark ages game that ends in 500 AD but has the option to continue past the end of the timeline

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:

Afaik 632AD lies in the gap between Imperator (-20AD) and CK2 (769AD-). Paradox developers previously voiced concerns that the migration period (350-500s) is harder to do as a game.

Personally I don't expect the game soon, and there's not enough profit to bet YES in this market (given my discount rates due to x-risk + impatience).

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules