Who will win the 2026 by-election for Throckley, Walbottle and Newburn (Newcastle City Council)?

Question

This by-election is due to a casual vacancy caused by the resignation of Reform UK's Cllr Amy Hunter, just over two months after being elected in the 3 May 2026 all-out elections (The Newcastle Drop – August 4, 2026)

Manifold Markets · Answer

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, Martin Evison (Reform), followed by Linda Wright (Labour) and Kimberley Barrass (Green) are most likely. See the market for live updates (9 traders, as of Aug 24, 2026).

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