Who will win the 2026 by-election for Harraby South (Cumberland Council)?

Question

Casual vacancy caused by the resignation of Labour's Cllr Lucy Patrick.

Source: Cumberland Council – By-election called for Cumberland Council seat in Carlisle

Manifold Markets · Answer

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, Josh Kirkwood (Reform), followed by Ruth Elizabeth Alcroft (Labour) and Rob Currie (Conservative) are most likely. See the market for live updates (1 traders, as of Aug 7, 2026).

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