What % of the UK's population will be Muslim in the 2031 census?
1
Ṁ200Ṁ152031
7.64 %
expected1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
11%
Below 5%
11%
5 - 5.9%
11%
6 - 6.9%
23%
7 - 7.9%
20%
8 - 8.9%
11%
9 - 10%
11%
Above 10%
Resolves according to the % of the population that is Muslim in the 2031 census, including results from 2032 if the census is delayed by no more than a year. Resolves N/A if no census takes place in 2031 or 2032. If the UK breaks apart, then it will resolve according to the combined results of census in the constituent countries of the UK provided that they all have a census in 2031 or 2032.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will any big western EU or UK city (as of 2023) have more than 50% Muslim population by 2050?
62% chance
What percentage of humans will follow Islam in 2100?
27% chance
Will more than 40% of respondents identify as having “No religion” in the 2041 UK Census?
92% chance
Will the Hindu population of the UK be more than 4 times the Jewish population of the UK by 2030?
70% chance
Will a Muslim Majority Country Lose Its Majority Before 2040?
61% chance
Will at least 1/3 of the world be one religion by the end of 2034?
15% chance
Religious Composition of the Planet in 2030
Will the burqa be banned in the UK before 2030?
21% chance
Will the UK population exceed 70 million before 2035?
68% chance
Will the US have a Muslim president by 2033?
3% chance