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MANIFOLD
If net migration to the UK is above 1M in any year between now and 2034, who was PM at the time?
4
Ṁ150Ṁ435
2034
35%
Labour
35%
Green
8%
Reform
17%
Conservatives
3%
Liberal Democrats
3%
Other

If there is a datapoint on Net migration to the UK - Migration Observatory or data from the source that they use before the end of 2034 that gives net migration as >1M, resolves at the party that the Prime Minister of the UK was from at the start of that month. Otherwise resolves N/A.

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