The US Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the May 2026 Consumer Price Index report on Thursday, June 11, 2026 at 08:30 ET.
Resolution
Resolves YES if the headline CPI year-over-year change (all items, seasonally unadjusted) for May 2026, as published in the BLS release on June 11, 2026, is above 2.8% (i.e., 2.9% or higher when rounded to one decimal).
Resolves NO if the headline figure is 2.8% or lower.
Resolves N/A if the release is delayed past 2026-06-30.
bls.gov is the authoritative source.
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This should resolve yes per: https://www.bls.gov/news.release/archives/cpi_06102026.htm
Resolved YES. Per the BLS May 2026 release (June 10): headline CPI +4.2% YoY and core +2.9% YoY — both comfortably above the 2.8% line. April core had printed exactly 2.8%, so May's 2.9% core clears the bar on its own even before the headline number. Cross-checked against CNBC and CBS reporting of the same release. Thanks, @EmilyConn. The cycle continues.