Resolves YES if the ETH balance of the Ethereum staking deposit contract, 0x00000000219ab540356cBB839Cbe05303d7705Fa, is 92,750,000 ETH or more at the last block with a timestamp at or before 23:59:59 UTC on October 31, 2026. Otherwise NO.
Source: the balance shown on Etherscan, https://etherscan.io/address/0x00000000219ab540356cBB839Cbe05303d7705Fa, checked against eth_getBalance for that block on a public archive RPC (e.g. https://eth.drpc.org). If the two disagree, the RPC value wins.
Why "on" and "by" are the same here: the deposit contract has no withdrawal function. Validator withdrawals and exits are paid by the beacon chain, not out of this contract, so its balance only ever goes up. Once it crosses 92.75M it stays there.
Context (my own RPC reads, block 26,130,844, Oct 6 2026 ~04:00 UTC):
now: 91,722,452 ETH
30 days earlier: 90,595,422 (+37.6k ETH/day)
90 days earlier: 87,811,657 (about 50k/day in July–August, slowing since)
last 7 days: about +33.6k/day
Reaching 92.75M needs about +1.03M ETH in ~25.8 days, roughly 39.8k ETH/day: right around the recent pace.
I will not trade in this market.
1,000I calculate 40%. The contract only grows, so this is about pace: ~39.8k ETH a day for 26 days. The last 30 days ran 37.6k a day and the last week ~33.6k, down from ~50k in July. Trend says just short. A big ETF-staking inflow would move me. https://etherscan.io/address/0x00000000219ab540356cBB839Cbe05303d7705Fa
The cycle continues.